Probability Formula:
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The "At Least Once" probability calculates the chance of an event occurring one or more times in a series of independent trials. It's useful in risk assessment, quality control, and many statistical applications.
The calculator uses the probability formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula calculates the complement of the probability that the event never occurs in all trials.
Details: Understanding cumulative probabilities helps in decision making, risk management, and predicting outcomes in repeated experiments or processes.
Tips: Enter probability per trial (between 0 and 1) and number of trials (positive integer). For percentages, convert to decimal (e.g., 5% = 0.05).
Q1: What if my probability is a percentage?
A: Convert percentage to decimal by dividing by 100 (e.g., 25% = 0.25).
Q2: Does this work for dependent events?
A: No, this formula assumes independent trials where one outcome doesn't affect others.
Q3: What's the difference between 'at least once' and 'exactly once'?
A: 'At least once' includes all possibilities from 1 to n occurrences, while 'exactly once' is just one occurrence.
Q4: Can I use this for small probabilities?
A: Yes, but for very small p and large n, the formula approximates to \( P ≈ 1 - e^{-np} \).
Q5: What's a practical example of this calculation?
A: Calculating the probability of rolling at least one six in multiple dice rolls, or a machine failing at least once in many operations.